The National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued a warning this Thursday about the formation of a system in the eastern Atlantic (AL95) that could develop into a tropical depression or storm by this weekend. The system is currently several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands, but weather conditions are favorable for its strengthening within a few hours. It is moving westward at speeds between 15 and 20 mph.
The probability of formation within the next 48 hours stands at 40%, but this likelihood increases over time, reaching a 70% chance of becoming a tropical storm within seven days.
Potential Additional Systems
Additionally, there is a possibility of another system (AL94) forming over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the end of this week. This tropical wave over the western Caribbean Sea is currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves westward at approximately 20 mph. It is also likely to become a tropical storm within seven days.
These systems could potentially impact Cuba, especially the one currently farther from the island based on forecasted trajectories.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States has predicted a more active than usual hurricane season in the Atlantic this year. Up to 13 hurricanes are expected to form in the Caribbean region, with seven of them potentially being of great intensity. From June 1 to November 30, between 17 and 25 storms with winds exceeding 62 kilometers per hour are anticipated to develop.
Frequently Asked Questions about the Caribbean Storms
Here are some common questions and answers regarding the potential tropical storms and their impact on the Caribbean, including Cuba.
What is the probability of AL95 developing into a tropical storm?
The probability of AL95 developing into a tropical storm within the next 48 hours is 40%, but this increases to 70% within seven days.
How many hurricanes are expected in the Caribbean this year?
Up to 13 hurricanes are expected to form in the Caribbean region, with seven of them potentially being of great intensity.
When is the Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.