The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported this Sunday that environmental conditions in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico are favorable for the development of a low-pressure system that could evolve into a tropical depression in the coming days. Forecasts indicate an 80% chance of the system becoming a tropical depression within the next 48 hours, and a 90% chance within the next seven days.
This system, identified as AL98, is currently situated less than 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and is associated with showers and thunderstorms showing signs of organization. As it moves westward, it is expected to approach and potentially impact the Leeward Islands and parts of the Greater Antilles by mid-week.
According to the NHC, residents of the Lesser and Greater Antilles should maintain close monitoring of the system's development, as warnings are likely to be issued in the coming hours. The development of this system could significantly affect the region, so the public is urged to stay prepared and follow meteorological updates.
Cuban meteorologist Raydel Ruisanchez warned this Sunday on Facebook that forecast models consistently predict the formation of a tropical cyclone within the next 24 to 48 hours as it approaches the northern group of the Lesser Antilles. "All residents within the red zone should be very attentive to possible changes and warnings issued in the coming days," cautioned the specialist, sharing a graphic suggesting that the weather disturbance is unlikely to cause significant impacts in Cuba.
Ruisanchez indicated that after 72 hours, a trough could cause the system to turn northwest and north over the open waters of the Western Atlantic. Close monitoring of this weather disturbance has been ongoing for several days due to its potential impacts on the Caribbean region.
The 2024 hurricane season continues to show signs of intense activity, with the Caribbean in the crosshairs of new meteorological threats. The NHC noted that the peak of the season—late August through late September—is just around the corner, with up to 13 hurricanes expected from June 1 to November 30.
Frequently Asked Questions about the Potential Tropical Depression
As the potential tropical depression AL98 approaches the Caribbean, many residents and interested parties have questions about what to expect. Below are some frequently asked questions and their answers.
What is the probability of AL98 becoming a tropical depression?
There is an 80% chance that AL98 will become a tropical depression within the next 48 hours and a 90% chance within the next seven days.
Which areas are most likely to be affected by AL98?
The Leeward Islands and parts of the Greater Antilles are expected to be most affected as AL98 moves westward.
How should residents prepare for the potential impact?
Residents should stay informed by following updates from the NHC and local meteorological agencies, prepare emergency kits, and have a plan in place for possible evacuations or sheltering.