A potential low-pressure area that could form in the coming days in the central tropical Atlantic is being closely monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Experts indicate that this system has a low probability of developing into a tropical cyclone.
In a weather forecast issued Tuesday morning, the NHC announced that it is keeping an eye on the central tropical Atlantic for a possible low-pressure area. However, they estimated only a 20% chance of this event developing into a cyclone within the next seven days. Meteorologists estimate a near 0% probability of formation within 48 hours and similarly low odds (20%) over seven days.
According to the NHC's projection, the potential low-pressure area is moving toward Cuba. "Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for slow development of this system this weekend into early next week as it moves west to west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph," the weather forecast specifies.
Active Hurricane Season in the Atlantic
This year, the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30, has been considered very active. Experts describe it as the most active in the last three decades due to highly favorable conditions for storm development, such as warmer sea temperatures and reduced vertical wind shear.
In an average season, 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes of category 3 or higher typically develop. However, the 2024 season could surpass these figures. Just two weeks ago, as the peak of the season approached, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States adjusted its forecast.
The new report from NOAA shows a slight but significant adjustment in their projections, now estimating a range of 17 to 24 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater) and 8 to 13 hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater).
Frequently Asked Questions about the Atlantic Hurricane Season
Given the current activity in the Atlantic, many people have questions about the hurricane season and the potential impacts of these weather systems. Here are some frequently asked questions and their answers.
What is the probability of the low-pressure area developing into a cyclone?
The National Hurricane Center estimates a 20% chance of the low-pressure area developing into a cyclone within the next seven days.
How active is this year's Atlantic hurricane season?
This year's hurricane season is considered very active, potentially the most active in the last 30 years due to favorable conditions for storm development.
What are the new projections for the 2024 hurricane season?
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) now projects between 17 to 24 named storms and 8 to 13 hurricanes for the 2024 season.