A weather disturbance, designated as AL95, is currently situated in the western Caribbean and is causing widespread rain and thunderstorms in that area. The environmental conditions appear favorable for its development within the next 48 hours.
Recently, the system has become more organized, and the current atmospheric conditions suggest it could evolve into a short-lived tropical depression or storm before making landfall in Belize and the Yucatán Peninsula in Mexico as early as this Saturday. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has reported a 70 percent chance of formation within both the next 48 hours and the upcoming week.
Regardless of its development into a named storm or tropical depression, this system is likely to bring heavy rainfall to parts of Central America and southern Mexico over the weekend. While no official storm formation has occurred yet, the extensive low-pressure area is already impacting the region with significant downpours.
Warnings for Local Communities
Residents in Belize, the Yucatán Peninsula, and Central American countries are advised to stay alert for potential weather warnings from local authorities as the system could lead to localized flooding.
In the case of Cuba, the adverse weather conditions are also being monitored closely.
Monitoring Another Disturbance: AL94
At the same time, another disturbance is being observed in the North Atlantic, situated north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Despite unfavorable upper-level winds, this system is still under observation as it moves quickly to the west-northwest, according to the NHC.
The likelihood of development for this system, within both 48 hours and seven days, remains low at 20 percent. Although both systems require careful attention, AL95 is considered more likely to develop in the coming days.