Hurricane Rafael, recently escalated to a Category 3 storm as per the latest bulletin from the National Hurricane Center (NHC), is now unleashing its full power on parts of western Cuba. With maximum sustained winds reaching 115 mph (185 km/h), areas such as Cayo Largo del Sur, the Isle of Youth, and the southern coast of Matanzas are already feeling its impact.
According to the NHC, a weather station in Cayo Largo del Sur reported sustained winds of 58 mph (93 km/h) and gusts peaking at 83 mph (134 km/h). As of the 1:00 p.m. bulletin, the eye of Rafael was located just 40 miles (65 km) northeast of the Isle of Youth and 84 miles (135 km) south of Havana. The NHC has warned of a dangerous storm surge, potentially causing severe flooding and hurricane-force winds that threaten both lives and property.
Warnings and Potential Impact
Authorities have issued hurricane warnings for the provinces of Pinar del Río, Artemisa, Havana, Mayabeque, Matanzas, and the Isle of Youth. Tropical storm warnings remain in effect for Villa Clara, Cienfuegos, and the Florida Keys, stretching from Key West to the Channel 5 Bridge.
Rafael is expected to make landfall in western Cuba later today, weakening as it crosses the island. However, it may regain strength upon entering the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane-force winds extend up to 19 miles (30 km) from Rafael's center, while tropical storm winds reach out 115 miles (185 km).
Rainfall and Surge Threats
Rainfall associated with Rafael could accumulate to 4 to 8 inches (10 to 20 cm), with isolated areas receiving over 12 inches (30 cm) in mountainous regions, heightening the risk of flash floods and landslides across western Cuba. The Cayman Islands and the Florida Keys are also expected to experience significant rain.
The storm surge could elevate sea levels by 9 to 14 feet (2.7 to 4.2 meters) above normal along the southern coast of Cuba, particularly affecting the Isle of Youth. Swells generated by the hurricane may create hazardous surf conditions in the western Caribbean and eventually in the Gulf of Mexico.
Precautionary Measures
There is also a chance of isolated tornadoes in the Florida Keys and the southwestern peninsula. Residents are urged to stay informed through official updates and adhere to the guidance of local authorities to ensure their safety.