The National Hurricane Center (NHC) recently released an update concerning a weather disturbance in the Caribbean, where a trough of low pressure situated a few hundred miles east of the Bahamas is causing scattered showers and thunderstorms. Although the odds of this system evolving into a tropical storm remain low—just a 10% chance over the next 48 hours and the following week—it continues its west-northwest trajectory, gradually nearing the Bahamas archipelago.
Regardless of its development, meteorologists caution that this trough could bring heavy rains and strong winds to parts of the Caribbean, particularly the Bahamas, throughout the weekend. Such conditions could lead to adverse weather, prompting locals to stay vigilant and heed local civil defense advisories.
Potential Effects on Cuba
For Cuba, this system poses no significant threat of cyclonic development, as the formation probabilities are expected to remain low. However, rainfall linked to this trough may affect the weather in eastern Cuba in the coming days, potentially resulting in moderate precipitation.
Cuban meteorological authorities advise residents, especially those in the island's eastern regions, to stay informed about weather updates, as there might be some indirect effects from this system.
Monitoring Tropical Storm Rafael
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Rafael is active in the central Gulf of Mexico and remains under constant observation by the NHC. Although it is positioned far from the eastern Caribbean, the storm continues to be monitored due to its potential impact on Gulf areas.