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Cuba Faces Potential "Zero Option" Scenario Amid Fuel Crisis

Sunday, March 16, 2025 by Felix Ortiz

This past Saturday, a government official in Cuba acknowledged that the nation is on the brink of a scenario where fuel supplies will be completely depleted. This dire situation mirrors the dreaded "Zero Option" experienced during the severe energy and economic crisis of the 1990s, known as the Special Period.

Rolando José Rajadel Alzuri, the vice governor of Cienfuegos province, stated on Perlavisión television that it is "evident" Cuba will eventually have no fuel reserves for its economy. However, he emphasized that the situation could become even more critical. According to Rajadel, "we will also face a lack of fuel for emergency power generators."

As a response to this potential crisis, the vice governor urged prioritization in the province for generating power for essential public services. He also ordered an "urgent" assessment of fuel availability at each CUPET (Cuban state oil company) location and called for the suspension of non-essential activities.

Rajadel stressed the importance of extending the vitality of critical processes to avoid a scenario where basic necessities are left unmet. "We need to ensure primary needs are met. Everything else must be halted. It must be halted because no diesel is being supplied to the province's economy," he declared during a televised meeting.

The official also disclosed that the Cienfuegos refinery is operating "by gravity," with its output solely used for distributed power generation. "Therefore, the territory is effectively closed, and activities will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis," he stated.

This alarming situation echoes the "Zero Option," an economic policy implemented by the Cuban government in the 1990s following the Soviet Union's collapse. With the economy in disarray and no alternatives, this policy aimed to tackle the massive economic crisis caused by the loss of subsidies.

The "Zero Option" involved drastic austerity measures and economic adjustments to ensure the regime's survival. These measures included reducing energy consumption, rationing food and other essentials, and promoting local food production "self-sufficiency." The government also encouraged the use of bicycles and non-motorized transport to conserve fuel, along with communal cooking arrangements in neighborhoods.

Despite these severe measures, Fidel Castro himself denied the strategy in the media, suggesting that reaching a "Zero Option" would be akin to reaching the grave. Over thirty years later, with recent energy collapses, the conversation around this topic has resurfaced.

Understanding Cuba's Current Energy Crisis

What is the "Zero Option" in Cuba?

The "Zero Option" refers to a set of extreme austerity measures taken by the Cuban government during the 1990s to cope with an economic crisis after the Soviet Union's collapse. It involved energy reduction, food rationing, and promoting local self-sufficiency.

Why is Cuba facing another potential "Zero Option" scenario?

Cuba is currently facing severe fuel shortages, which may lead to a scenario similar to the past "Zero Option." This is due to economic struggles and a lack of external support, reminiscent of the 1990s crisis.

What measures are being taken to address the fuel crisis in Cuba?

Authorities are focusing on prioritizing energy for essential services, assessing fuel availability, and halting non-essential activities to manage the crisis effectively.

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